$ · Running the business

Get out of fantasy land. Everything goes back to a dollar.

A business doesn't run on hopes, likes or how good an idea feels. It runs on cash. If something doesn't help your bottom line, directly or indirectly, it isn't for you. That isn't cynical. It's how you protect the business you're working so hard to build.

4 min readTools: Does it pay? calculator

Why owners end up in fantasy land

It isn't stupidity. It's how people are wired. Psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky described the planning fallacy: people consistently expect their own projects to take less time and cost less than they really will, even when they've seen similar projects run over. Add excitement about your own idea, and the forecast drifts further from reality.

Fantasy land sounds like "we'll have 50 clients by summer," "this tool will save us tons of time," or "everyone loves the idea." None of those are lies. They're just untested. Realistic thinking means turning every one of them into a number you can check.

Revenue, profit and cash are not the same thing

An old business saying puts it well: revenue is vanity, profit is sanity, cash is reality. Busy isn't the same as profitable, and profitable isn't the same as having money in the bank. Plenty of businesses with growing sales have run out of cash because clients paid slowly while bills came due on time.

Fantasy landReality check
"Revenue is up 40%!"What happened to profit? What happened to cash?
"We're so busy."Which of these jobs actually make money after your time is counted?
"Everyone loves our idea."How many people have paid for it?
"This software will save us time."How many hours, worth how much, compared with what it costs?
"We got 2,000 likes on that post."How many inquiries and sales came from it?
"We'll land 50 clients by summer."How many did we land last quarter, and what's changing?
"That big client is great for us."What's our margin on them, and what happens if they leave?

$ The core test

The Dollar Test

Before you spend money, spend time, take a client or start a project, ask four questions. If you can't answer them, you're still in fantasy land.

  1. 01
    How does this make or save money? Directly (new sales, lower costs) or indirectly (keeps clients, keeps staff, avoids a fine). Name it.
  2. 02
    How much, and by when? A real number and a real date. "Eventually" is not a date.
  3. 03
    What does it really cost? The price, plus the time it takes, plus what it costs to maintain.
  4. 04
    How will I know if it worked? Pick the measure now. If you can't measure it, set a tripwire to drop it.
Tool · run the numbers

Does it pay?

For any purchase, hire, tool or project. Use realistic numbers, not hopeful ones.
New revenue, or costs you no longer pay. Be conservative.
Use a negative number if it costs you time.
What you earn on your best work.

Your time has a price

Owners often treat their own time as free. It isn't. If your best work earns $75 an hour and you spend five hours a week on tasks someone else could do for $20 an hour, that's a real cost, even if no money changes hands. Put a dollar value on your hour and use it in every decision.

Indirect dollars still count

"If it doesn't help the bottom line, it's not for you" is the right rule, as long as you count all the dollars. Some of the most important spending never shows up as revenue this month:

  • Keeping good people. Losing an employee means recruiting, training and lost work while the seat is empty. Fair pay and decent treatment are cheaper than turnover.
  • Training. Mistakes, rework and slow work all cost money. Training is often the cheapest fix.
  • Compliance and taxes. Fines, penalties and audits are dollars too. Cutting corners here is borrowing from your future at a terrible rate.
  • Reputation and integrity. One client who feels cheated tells others. Trust takes years to build and one bad decision to lose.

For these, flip the question: what will it cost me if I don't? Put a number on that, and the dollar test works for them too.

What realistic owners cut

  • Clients who cost more in time and stress than they pay.
  • Services that lose money and don't lead to other sales.
  • Subscriptions and tools nobody has opened in a month.
  • Marketing that gets attention but no inquiries.
  • Projects with no measure of success and no end date.

Each of these is worth a dossier if cutting it is a Class II or III decision. And when you cut something that affects people, how you say it matters. See Clear at Work.